中国与“一带一路”国家运输设备贸易研究——基于比较优势与引力模型的实证分析

Research on Transportation Equipment Trade between China and"One Belt,One Road"Countries——Empirical Analysis Based on Comparative Advantage and Gravity Model

利用联合国商品贸易统计数据库及法国国际经济研究中心数据,对中国与“一带一路”国家运输设备贸易的概况、竞争力、贸易潜力进行研究。对贸易数据的分析发现中国与“一带一路”国家间贸易发展总体趋势向好。利用国际市场占有率和显示性比较优势两个指标进行的竞争力分析得出中国在运输设备贸易领域国际竞争力总体上较强。通过引力模型测算中国与“一带一路”国家的贸易潜力发现,我国与“一带一路”国家在运输设备上仍有较大的贸易潜力。

Using the data of the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the French International Economic Research Center,this paper studies the general situation,competitiveness and trade potential of transportation equipment trade between China and the"Belt and Road"countries.The analysis of trade data shows that the overall trend of trade development between China and the countries along the"Belt and Road"is improving.Competitiveness analysis using the two indicators of international market share and revealed comparative advantage shows that China's international competitiveness in the field of transportation equipment trade is generally strong.Using the gravity model to calculate the trade potential between China and the"Belt and Road"countries,it is found that there is still a large trade potential between my country and the"Belt and Road"countries in terms of transportation equipment.