进口国制度质量、基础设施对中国出口贸易的影响

Impact of Importing Countries′Institutional Quality,Infrastructure on China′s Export Trade

基于贸易扩展引力模型,采用固定效应与中介效应模型对2000—2019年73个国家组成的面板数据展开实证分析。结果表明:①进口国制度质量和基础设施水平的提升不但直接促进了中国出口贸易的增长,且中介效应回归表明制度质量的提高能够通过基础设施对中国出口贸易产生间接促进作用。②相比于经济制度,进口国政治制度与法律制度质量的提升对中国出口贸易的影响更加显著。③受进口国地理位置与经济发展水平的影响,中国出口贸易的增长对与中国无共同边界的国家和发展中国家制度质量、基础设施的变化更加敏感。

This paper used the fixed effects model and mediation effect model to conduct an empirical analysis of panel data composed of 73 countries from 2000 to 2019 based on the extended gravity model of trade.Here were three conclusions:①The improvement of the importing countries′institutional quality and infrastructure level directly promoted the growth of China′s export trade,the mediation effect regression showed that the improvement of institutional quality could indirectly promote China′s export trade through infrastructure.②Compared with the economic institution,the improvement of the quality of the political and legal systems of the importing country had a more significant impact on China′s export trade.③Affected by the geographic location and economic development of the importing country,the growth of China′s export trade was more sensitive to institutional quality and changes in infrastructure of countries which consisted of developing countries and countries had no common border with China.