务工收入对农户土地出租意愿的影响分析

Analysis of the Impact of Labor Income on Farmers’Land Lease Willingness

通过构建Probit模型,并利用中国家庭追踪调查的6677个农户样本,实证研究务工收入对农户土地出租意愿的影响。结果表明:当不区分务工类型时发现,农民务工收入的平均边际效应为0.0044,提高农民务工收入,可以增加农户土地出租意愿;当区分务工类型时发现,农民外出务工收入的平均边际效应为0.0052,农民本地务工收入的平均边际效应为0.0030,提高农民外出务工收入,更容易增加农户土地出租意愿;农户的生活条件、住房市值、金融资产、家庭农业、在家人数、日常支出、转移支付收入等因素对农户土地出租意愿也会产生影响,但总体而言农民生活水平越高,越愿意出租土地。因此,应加强农民务工技能培训,增加农民就业机会,提高农民生活水平,进而促进土地有序出租,形成适度规模经营。

By constructing Probit model and using a sample of 6677 rural households from the CFPS,the paper empirically researches the impact of labor income on farmers’land lease willingness.The results show that the average marginal effect of migrant workers’income is 0.0044,and increasing the migrant workers’income can promote farmers’willingness to rent out land;When distinguishing the types of migrant workers,the average marginal effect of farmers’income from migrant workers is 0.0052,and the average marginal effect of farmers’income from local migrant workers is 0.0030,increasing the income of farmers from migrant workers,making it easier to promote farmers’willingness to rent out land;Farmers’living conditions,housing market value,financial assets,family farming,number of people at home,daily expenditures,transfer payment income also affect their willingness to rent out land.However,as a whole,the higher the farmers’living standards,the easier it is to rent out land.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the training of migrant workers’skills,increase employment opportunities for farmers,improve their living standards,and promote the orderly leasing of land to form an appropriate scale of operation.