京津冀旅游产业对关联产业的空间溢出效应研究

Research on the Spatial Spillover Effect of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Tourism Industry on Related Industries

基于2009—2018年京津冀地区13个市的面板数据,运用探索性空间数据分析方法及空间杜宾模型,在验证存在空间相关性的基础上分析探讨了旅游产业对关联产业的空间溢出效应。结果表明研究期内关联产业整体上表现出显著的空间相关性,局部空间关联特征以高-高集聚和低-低集聚为主,且局部空间格局相对稳定。京津冀旅游产业对关联产业具有显著的空间溢出效应,人均旅游收入对关联产业作用的直接效应较为显著,城市公园绿地面积、旅游资源禀赋、公路客运量、产业结构对邻近地区关联产业的间接效应较为显著,财政支出规模作用效果尚不明显,旅游产业对各关联产业的作用强度和影响路径也存在不同程度的差异,应充分关注旅游产业空间溢出效应强的优势,促进本地和邻近地区关联产业高质量发展。

Based on the panel data of 13 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2009 to 2018,using exploratory spatial data analysis method and Spatial Durbin Model, this paper analyzes the spatial spillover effects of tourism industry on related industries on the basis of spatial correlation test.The results show that during the study period, the related industries generally shows a significant spatial correlation, and the local spatial correlation characteristics are mainly featured as high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration, the regional local spatial pattern is relatively stable.Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei tourism industry has a significant effect on related industries, and has significant spatial spillover effects.The direct effect of per capita tourism income on related industries is significant.The indirect effects of urban park green space acreage, tourism resource endowment, highway passenger volume and industrial structure on related industries in neighboring areas are significant, and the effect of fiscal expenditure scale is not obvious, There are also differences in the intensity and influence path of tourism industry on related industries.We should make the best of the advantages of strong spatial spillover effect of tourism industry to promote development of related industries in local and adjacent areas.