人与科技发展愿景洞察的情报分析方法探讨

Discussion on Information Analysis Process for Vision Insight of Human and Technological Development

在“以人为本”理念的驱动下,面向人的需求开展了对人的各类活动未来愿景的前瞻预见活动。为支持“以人为本”的未来发展愿景展望和技术需求分析,本研究以马斯洛的人的需求与行为理论为基础,以科技革命对人的需求与行为以及人类活动的影响为基本框架,以世界主要国家和国际组织对未来社会情景的预测为基本素材,通过严格的信息遴选、知识元提取进行系统分析,形成了一套洞察人与科技发展愿景的情报分析方法。

Driven by the concept of"people-centered",the technology foresight based on people's needs and future vision of various activities were carried out.In order to support the demand analysis of"people-centered"vision of future development and technology,based on Maslow's theory of human needs and behavior,this study took into account of the impact of scientific and technological revolution on human demand and activities,and took the prediction of future social scenarios by major countries and international organizations as the basic material,systematic analysis was carried out through strict information selection and knowledge element extraction form a set of information analysis methods for insights into human and technological development.