一种灰色关联和集对分析相结合的装备作战效能评估新方法

A New Method of Equipment Operational Effectiveness Evaluation Based on Grey Relational Analysis and Set Pair Analysis

针对装备作战效能评估的不确定性,提出一种灰色关联和集对分析相结合的新方法。通过挖掘联系度表达式中宏观层面上各参数对微观层面上不确定系数的影响,运用灰色关联分析法确定差异度系数在其自由度中的取值,从而进一步减小装备作战效能评估中不确定性带来的影响;通过对4种防空导弹系统作战效能的评估比较对该方法进行检验。结果表明:该方法概念清晰、简单易行,具有较高的可靠性,为装备作战效能评估提供了新思路。

Aiming at the uncertainty of equipment operational effectiveness evaluation,a new method combining grey relational analysis and set pair analysis is proposed.By mining the influence of each parameter on the macro level on the uncertainty coefficient on the micro level in the expression of connection degree,the gray relational analysis method is used to determine the value of the coefficient of difference degree in its degree of freedom,so as to further reduce the influence of uncertainty in the evaluation of equipment operational effectiveness;The method is tested by evaluating and comparing the operational effectiveness of four air defense missile systems.The results show that the method is clear in concept,simple and easy to implement,and has high reliability,which provides a new idea for equipment operational effectiveness evaluation.