中国体育产业贸易竞争力的测算及影响因素分析——基于MIMIC模型的实证研究

Measurement and Influencing Factors of Trade Competitiveness of China's Sports Industry:An Empirical Research Based on MIMIC Model

采用结构方程中的多指标多原因(MIMIC)模型,系统测算了2002—2018年的中国体育产业贸易竞争力指数。在构建MIMIC模型时,以体育产业贸易竞争力作为潜在变量,选取“新发展理念”的创新发展、协调发展、绿色发展、开放发展和共享发展5个评价维度作为模型的外生原因变量,选取出口和进口2个评价维度作为模型的内生结果变量。从实证结果来看,中国体育产业贸易竞争力指数可以比较准确地反映我国体育产业在国际市场上的竞争能力;协调发展、绿色发展与共享发展是影响体育产业贸易竞争力的重要因素。

Using a multiple indicators and multiple causes(MIMIC)model of structural equation,the trade competitiveness index of China's sports industry from 2002 to 2018 is calculated systematically.In order to build the model,the paper takes trade competitiveness of China's sports industry as the latent variable.Five evaluation dimensions of innovative development of"new deve-lopment concepts",coordinated development,green development,open development and shared development were selected as exogenous cause variables.Two dimensions of export and import were selected as endogenous outcome variables of the model.The result shows that the trade competitiveness index of China's sports industry can accurately reflect the competitiveness of China's sports industry in the international market.Coordinated development,green development and shared development are important factors affecting the trade competitiveness of China's sports industry.