美国对华“成本强加战略”的提出、结构困境与应对策略(下)

Presentation, Limitations and Countermeasures ofU.S’ “Cost Imposition Strategies” against China (Ⅱ)

随着中国的崛起和积极开展海洋维权行动,美国针对中国提出了“成本强加战略”。“成本强加战略”是长期和平时期的战略,其目的是使发起国获得艰难条件下的比较优势,所运用的手段包括军事和非军事手段。“成本强加战略”存在一定的局限性:在成本方面,发起者需要承受相应的成本;在一致性方面,需要维持内部、外部和时间的一致性;在结果方面,是否达到预计效果存在不确定性。从现有情况和发展趋势来看,美国对华政策仍处于“成本强加战略”框架当中,该战略的范围将大幅扩大,也将增加新的元素,并将更加注重盟友和伙伴,以共同立场使中国付出更高的代价。对此,中国需要提前布局并积极予以应对。

With China’s rise and active maintenance of maritime right,the United States has proposed cost imposition strategies against China.The cost imposition strategies are strategies in a long-term peace period,whose purpose is to enable the initiators to obtain comparative advantages under difficult conditions,and the means used include military and non-military means.In terms of cost,initiators need to bear the corresponding cost;in terms of consistency,it is necessary to maintain internal,external and temporal consistency;in terms of the results,there is uncertainty about whether the expected effect is achieved.Judging from the current situation and development trend,the U.S.policy towards China is still in the framework of the“cost-imposition strategy”.The scope of the strategy will be greatly expanded,and new elements will be added,and allies and partners will be more focused to make China pay a higher price with a common position.In this regard,China needs to layout in advance and actively respond.