运用智库双螺旋法构建绿色GDP评价体系

Constructing Green GDP Evaluation System by Using Think Tank Double Helix Methodology

在新发展阶段,将绿色国内生产总值(GDP)作为发展绿色经济、低碳经济和循环经济的切入点,以及衡量高质量发展、可持续发展和现代化发展的重要指标,是保障建设“美丽中国”、基本实现社会主义现代化和达成碳中和目标的有效途径。文章围绕绿色GDP评价问题,运用智库双螺旋方法,从认识论、方法论和实践论角度,为绿色GDP评价提供了创新研究范式,从而拓宽了GDP评价体系研究路径。在绿色GDP评价理论方面,依据DIIS过程融合法的数据收集、揭示信息和综合研判过程,梳理绿色GDP评价研究环节,重塑我国绿色GDP评价体系的理论基础。在绿色GDP评价应用方面,从机理分析、影响分析和政策分析出发,总结我国绿色GDP评价体系演进规律。依据智库双螺旋法DIIS研究过程和MIPS逻辑环节融合,总结绿色GDP评价理论分析和演进规律,提出了构建我国绿色GDP评价体系的基本原则、指标框架和实施路径。针对我国未来发展面临形势和绿色GDP评价重要性,指出在智库双螺旋法指导下,从理论体系、技术方法和实践应用方面推进绿色GDP评价研究的建议。

In the new development stage,taking green GDP as the starting point for the development of green economy,low-carbon economy,and circular economy and an important indicator to measure high-quality development,sustainable development,and modernization is an effective way to ensure the construction of“beautiful China”,basically realize socialist modernization and achieve the goal of carbon neutrality.This study uses the double helix theory of think tank to innovate a new paradigm of green GDP research and broaden the research path of GDP evaluation system.In terms of epistemology,the think tank double helix methodology provides a new systematic perspective of“analysisfusion-restoration”for the study of green GDP.In terms of methodology,the think tank double helix methodology provides a new technical perspective of data-information-intelligence-solution(DIIS)for the study of green GDP.In terms of practice,the think tank double helix methodology provides a new logical perspective of mechanism-impact-policy-solution(MIPS)for the study of green GDP.In terms of green GDP evaluation theory,data collection is the basis of green GDP evaluation,revealing that information is the key of green GDP evaluation research,and comprehensive research and judgment is the core of green GDP research.Through the analysis of the research links of DIIS data collection,revealing information and comprehensive research and judgment,this study aims to reshape the theoretical basis of China’s green GDP evaluation system.In terms of the application of green GDP evaluation,this study summarizes its basic concepts and accounting mechanism framework in different stages,analyzes its impacts on social and economic development and ecological environment protection,as well as its policy support on the top design of green development strategy and the construction of green development system.In addition,according to MIPS,this study analyzes the evolution law of China’s green GDP evaluation system from the logical links of mechanism,impact,and policy analysis.This study also puts forward the basic principles,index framework,and implementation path of constructing China’s green GDP evaluation system according to the integration of internal circulation DIIS research link and MIPS logic link of the think tank double helix methodology,and the theoretical analysis and evolution law summary of green GDP evaluation.In terms of basic principles,this study puts forward the basic guidance for the construction of strategic,scientific,and practical index system.In terms of index framework,this study puts forward a basic evaluation system composed of five-dimensional subsystems of green economic quality,green social quality,green environmental quality,green life quality,and green management quality,as well as their 25 elements.With respect to the implementation path,this study puts forward a practice guidance system including system layer,index layer,calculation layer,and target layer.In view of the situation facing China’s future development and the importance of green GDP evaluation,this study proposes some suggestions to promote the research of green GDP evaluation from the perspectives of theoretical system,technical methods,and practical application under the guidance of the think tank double helix methodology.