印版“珍珠链”:“执假为真”的印度东进战略及其前景

Indian “String of Pearls”: India’s Act East Policy and Its Prospect

“珍珠链”战略本为美国人发明,旨在炒作中国在太平洋和印度洋上所谓的军事存在与活动,印度以此虚假意象为参照,不仅炒作中国通过“珍珠链”包围印度,而且为了所谓的反制,也在虚假意象的基础上,推进印版“珍珠链”,其中尤以推进与缅甸、越南、日本等国家的安全互动最为引人瞩目。“执假为真”不仅代表行为体之间因不了解而产生错误知觉,更反映了现实主义理论为何会对国际政治中的道德问题讳莫如深,因为执行“执假为真”战略的出发点通常是所谓的“国家利益”,而非道德上的是非标准。于此而言,国际政治博弈近乎于诡道,也是现实主义幽灵仍盘踞于当代国际政治互动中的根源。以印度东进战略中的所谓“珍珠链”而言,本身就是“执假为真”战略的重要组成部分,虚构中国的安全威胁,夸大地区国家对中国的安全防范,不能清楚地认识自身的实力,一厢情愿地揣测美国等西方国家对华策略等均构成了印度实施“执假为真”的东进战略的前提,也决定了其东进的限度与局限性。

The“string of pearls”strategy was originally invented by the Americans to hype China's so-called military presence and activities in the Pacific and Indian Ocean.India not only uses this false image as a reference to hype China's encirclement of India,but also promotes Indian“string of pearls”as countermeasures,and established noteworthy interaction with Myanmar,Vietnam,Japan and other countries.“Taking falsehood as true”not only represents misperception among actors due to the lack of understanding,but also reflects why realist theories are so secretive about moral issues in international politics.The reason behind this is the starting point of the implementation of the strategy of“taking falsehood as true”is usually the so-called“national interest”,not the moral standard of right or wrong.In this regard,the game of international politics is almost delusional,and it is also the root cause that the specter of realism still entrenched in contemporary international political interactions.As far as the so-called“string of pearls”in India's Act East Policy is concerned,it is itself an important part of the strategy of“taking falsehood as true”.India's Act East Policy has its own limits because India is not able to recognize its own strength and exaggerates the so called“China Threat”and holds wishful speculation about policies towards China made by the U.S.and other western countries.