美日印澳供应链安全合作的进展、前景及影响探析

Progress,Prospect and the Effect of the Security Cooperation of the Supply Chain between the U.S,Japan,India and Australia

跨国供应链的复杂性,决定了供应链安全问题难以避免,但美日印澳的供应链安全合作则超出了正常范畴,以“去中国化”为导向,带有鲜明的“安全化”色彩。在美日印澳四方会谈基础上,四国正不断推波助澜,积极在多领域推进供应链安全合作。从未来看,四国供应链安全合作具备一定的基础,但也面临着短期脱钩中国难、四国间协调难度大、违背客观经济规律、印度承接能力弱以及企业调整成本高等多重挑战。四国操弄供应链“安全化”的举措,将会给国际和地区国家产生复杂而深远的不利影响,作为四国供应链安全议程最直接的针对目标,中国应未雨绸缪,防患于未然,通过不断扩大对外合作与苦练内功,有效化解四国供应链安全合作可能带来的困难与风险。

The complexity of transnational supply chain determines that the problems existing in the security of supply chain are inevitable.However,the cooperation of the security of supply chain between the U.S.,Japan,India and Australia go beyond the normal scope and is guided by“De-Sinicization”with the bold color of“security”.Based on the quadrilateral talks between the U.S.,Japan,India and Australia,the four countries have been constantly and actively promoting cooperation of the security of supply chain in many fields.In the future,the security of supply chain cooperation among the four countries has a certain foundation,but it also faces multiple challenges,such as the difficulties in decoupling from China,the difficulties of coordination among the four countries,inconsistant with economic laws,India's weak undertaking capacity and high costs of enterprise adjustment.As the most direct target of the agenda of the supply chain security of the four countries,China should take precautions against the unexpected risks,and effectively resolve the difficulties and risks that may be brought by the cooperation of the security of supply chain of the four countries by continuously expanding foreign cooperation.