北美的物化技术溢出对中国产生的中性技术进步分析

An Analysis on China Neutral Technological Progress by Embodied Spillovers from North America

采用GTAP模型实证分析中国通过从美国进口获得技术溢出的机制及其对中国经济增长的影响。模拟结果表明 :地区之间的相对贸易量和地区之间结构相似性决定了物化技术溢出的大小。北美三大产业技术溢出均能促进中国产生的希克斯中性技术进步 ,其中只有第三产业对中国对应产业的产出有促进作用 ,对中国第一、二产业的产出作用增长的正负效应稍模糊 ,并提出了相关政策建议。

This paper empirically discusses the mechanism of China Neutral Technology by Embodied Spillovers from North America, and the effect on China economic growth. The simulations show that the effects of technology spillovers on both the innovating and the receiving economies depend on SS and AC. The three sectors spillovers of North America can improve China's Hicks-neutral technological progress, but only the third industry can increase the output of same industry of China, and decrease the output of other two industries. Based on the simulations, some advices are given on China trade policy.