“雾霾”治理促进工业经济高质量发展的实证考察——基于PSM-DID模型的实证分析

An Empirical Study on“Haze”Governance Promoting the High-Quality Development of Industrial Economy--Empirical Analysis Based on PSM-DID Model

本文基于环境规制理论和工业经济高质量发展的理论关系,以“雾霾”治理为例,使用2005~2020年中国地级及以上城市面板数据,进行基于PSM-DID模型的政策检验,对中国环境治理促进工业经济高质量发展进行实证考察。通过实证检验和机制分析认为:与新古典经济理论相符,检验结果认为“雾霾”治理对工业经济发展质量存在负面影响,但其通过工业经济规模、技术清洁化和技术高级化对工业经济发展质量的中介效应均显著为正。具体机制为:污染型产业外移、环境成本内部化促使产品价格上涨均为理论和政策上预计的正向效应,且技术清洁化和技术高级化的“创新补偿”效应显著存在。研究的政策含义主要有两点:(1)进一步提升完善市场机制,继续通过促使产业结构升级和企业环境污染外部成本的“内部化”,提升完善环境经济领域市场机制;(2)强化以中央政府垂直管理为主要管理模式,克服诟病已久的“逐底竞争”动机,提高地方政策财政支出效率,保障“创新补偿”效应的条件,促进技术清洁化和高级化升级。

Based on the theoretical relationship between environmental regulation theory and high-quality development of industrial economy,taking“haze”governance as an example,this paper uses the panel data of China's prefecture level and above cities from 2005 to 2020 to test the policy based on psm-did model,and makes an empirical investigation on China's environmental governance promoting high-quality development of industrial economy.According to the empirical test and mechanism analysis,it is consistent with the neoclassical economic theory.The test results show that the“haze”governance has a negative impact on the quality of industrial economic development,but its intermediary effect on the quality of industrial economic development through industrial economic scale,technology cleaning and technology upgrading is significantly positive.The specific mechanism is:the outward migration of polluting industries and the increase of product prices caused by the internalization of environmental costs are positive effects expected in theory and policy,and the“innovation compensation”effect of technology cleaning and technology upgrading is significant.The policy implications of the study mainly have two points:first,further improve and improve the market mechanism,and continue to improve and improve the market mechanism in the field of environmental economy by promoting the upgrading of industrial structure and the“Internalization”of the external cost of environmental pollution.Second,strengthen the vertical management of the central government as the main management mode,overcome the long criticized motivation of“Bottom-by-Bottom competition”,improve the efficiency of local policy fiscal expenditure,ensure the conditions for the“innovation compensation”effect,and promote the clean and advanced upgrading of technology.