黄河流域城市经济韧性研究和影响因素分析——基于不同城市类型的视角

Urban Economic Resilience and Its Influencing Factors in the Yellow River Basin:From the Perspective of Different Types of City

文章以黄河流域城市作为研究样本,采用区位商对城市类型进行划分,并通过莫兰指数、变异系数、斯皮尔曼相关性等多种分析方法对不同类型黄河流域城市经济韧性分布特征及影响因素进行分析,结果表明:①城市经济韧性水平接近地区具有明显空间集聚现象,电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业和农、林、牧、渔业为主导产业的城市韧性存在空间正相关,空间集聚特征明显。②2008—2019年黄河流域各类型城市经济韧性波动较大,不同类型城市经济韧性差距整体呈现波动缩小趋势。③2008—2019年,黄河流域各类型城市经济韧性排名前两位的城市专业化类型主要是属于第三产业,排名后五的城市专业化类型主要属于第一、二产业。④对不同类型城市,人口密度均和其城市经济韧性显著正相关;除建筑业类以及科学研究和技术服务业类城市外,金融发展水平同城市经济韧性显著正相关。

Taking cities in the Yellow River Basin as research area,this paper divides cities into different types by using location quotient,and analyzes the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and influencing factors of economic resilience of different types of cities in the Yellow Riviver Basin using Moran index,variation coefficient,Spearman correlation coefficient and other methods.The results show that:1)There is a significant spatial agglomeration phenomenon of urban economic resilience when the level of urban economic resilience is close to that of other regions.There is a positive spatial correlation in cities with the leading industry of the production and supply of electricity,gas and water or agriculture,and the spatial agglomeration characteristics are obvious.2)From 2008 to 2019,the economic resilience at different types of cities in the Yellow River Basin fluctuated greatly,and the economic resilience gap of different specialized cities in the Yellow River Basin showed a trend of fluctuation narrowing.3)From 2008 to 2019,the top two types of cities in the Yellow River Basin in terms of economic resilience mainly belong to the cities taking the tertiary industry as the leading industry,while the bottom five types of specialization cities mainly belong to the cities taking the primary and secondary industries as the leading industries.4)For different types of cities,population density is significantly positively correlated with urban economic resilience.Except for the cities focusing the development of architectural or scientific,technological and geological exploration,financial development index are significantly positively correlated with the city’s economic resilience.