进城农民工落户意愿与农村土地制度改革

Willingness of Migrant Workers to Settle Down in Cities and Reform of Rural Land System

利用全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,采用线性和有序概率的方法,分析土地对进城农民工落户意愿的影响。结果表明,在农村拥有承包地和宅基地降低了进城农民工在城市落户的意愿,土地带来的价值越大,其在城市落户的意愿越低。土地对老一代、本省流动、就业层次低和没有城镇医疗保险的农民工群体落户意愿的影响更显著。应进一步推进户籍制度改革,实现农业转移人口市民化,强化农村承包地和宅基地的退出机制,增加土地的财产属性,提高农民工城市落户意愿。

Based on the data of the dynamic monitoring survey of floating population,this paper analyzes the impact of land on migrant workers'willingness to settle down in cities by using linear and ordered probability methods.The results show that owning contracted land and homestead in rural areas reduces the willingness of migrant workers to settle down in cities,and the greater the value of land,the lower the willingness to settle down.Land has a more significant impact on the settlement intention of the older generation of migrant workers,those with low level of employment,and those with no urban social security.Therefore,to promote the reform of the household registration system and realize the citizenization of the migrant agricultural population,it is necessary to strengthen the withdrawal mechanism of rural contracted land and homestead,highlight the attribute of property of land,in order to promote migrant workers'willingness to settle down in cities.