石油石化国企重大风险量化指标体系研究

Research on Quantitative Index System of Major Risks for State-owned Petrochemical Enterprises

党的十九大明确将防范化解重大风险列为三大攻坚战之首,石油石化国企目前已经基本实现了对风险的定性分析,未来要进一步实现风险量化预警,亟需建立一套覆盖石油石化国企全部风险领域的重大经营风险管理指标体系。文章聚焦石油石化国企可能面临的各类重大风险,构建包括五大类风险维度、一级核心风险指标与二级分解风险指标的三级风险指标体系,以起到量化管理风险、持续监控风险、预防风险事件的作用,从而将石油石化国企的风险控制在最低限度,进而保障国家能源安全。

The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China made it clear that preventing and defusing major risks was the first of the three critical battles.The state-owned enterprises in petrochemical industry have basically achieved qualitative analysis of the risks.To further realize the early warning of quantitative risks in future,it is urgent to establish a set of major operational risk management index system covering all risk areas of state-owned petrochemical enterprises.The article focuses on all kinds of major risks that petrochemical enterprises may face,and constructs a three-level risk index system including five risk dimensions,first-level core risk index and second-level decomposition risk index,in order to play a role of quantitatively managing risks,monitoring risks continuously,and preventing risk events,therefore to control the risk of state-owned enterprises in petrochemical industry to a minimum limit,and to ensure national energy security.