基于攻防对抗序列的“饱和”能力评估方法

Evaluation Method of Missile Saturation Ability Based on Attack-Defense Countering Sequence

针对导弹“饱和”攻击作战样式的效能评估问题,提出一种“多对多”条件下基于攻防对抗序列的仿真评估方法。该方法基于进攻导弹和反导火力单元的描述模型,构建反导火力目标分配准则和分配模型,并考虑拦截窗口、目标通道占用和释放等因素,提出通道饱和度来描述进攻目标流的密集程度,并采用预测命中点方法快速预估进攻成功率,从攻防2个角度评估“饱和”能力,最后给出工程仿真实现流程。在典型场景设置下,验证了该方法在不同条件下的适用性,可用于指导攻防对抗评估与推演仿真系统的建设。

For the effectiveness evaluation problem of missile saturation attacking mode,a simula⁃tion method based on attack-defense countering sequence is proposed under“many-to-many”condi⁃tion.Under the described models of attacking missile and anti-missile firepower unit,the target allo⁃cation rules and allocation models are established.The fire channel saturation degree is outlined for describing the attacking target intensive degree,considering factors such as intercepting window,tar⁃get channel occupation and release.The attacking success probability sequence is calculated fast us⁃ing predictive impact point method,the saturation ability is evaluated based on attack-defense aspects and finally the engineering simulation flow is outlined.The applicability of the method under different conditions is verified under typical scenario settings,and can be used to guide the construction of attack-defense confrontation system.