我国南方居民冰雪运动参与体验对参与约束影响研究——基于PSM的计量分析

Influence of Ice and Snow Sports Participation Experience on Participation Constraints among Residents in Southern China:A Quantitative Analysis based on Propensity Score Matching

在“鼓励3亿人参与冰雪运动”的口号和“循证”决策过程的指导下,本研究以休闲约束的层次模型为理论框架,实证探讨了影响南方居民冰雪运动参与的约束问题。通过因子分析,得出居民参与的约束维度,并采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)对参与者和非参与者的约束进行评价和比较。结果表明,成都市居民对冬季运动有潜在的兴趣和需求,其约束维度为:设施和服务、同伴、时间和个人感受。实验组和对照组的易感性得分显示,参与组在兴趣、相关知识和技能以及个人感受方面的约束显著低于非参与组,而其他约束因子则不显著。建议因地制宜加大有效供给,以降低结构性约束;将社交属性融入冰雪运动,合理解决人际间约束问题等。

Under the initiative of“encouraging 300 million people to participate in ice and snow sports”and the guidance of the‘Evidence-based’policy-making process,this study takes the Hierarchical Model of Leisure Constraints as the theoretical framework to empirically explore the constraints influencing the participation of residents in Southern China in ice and snow sports.After factor analysis,the constraint dimension of residents’participation was obtained,and the constraints of participants and non-participants were evaluated and compared by Propensity Score Matching(PSM).The results indicate that Chengdu residents have potential interest in and demand for winter sports,and the constraint dimensions are:facilities and services,companions,time,and personal feelings.The predisposition scores of the experimental group and the control group revealed that the constraints on interest,relevant knowledge and skills,and personal feelings of the participating group were significantly lower than those of the non-participating group,while the other constraints were not significant.We suggest that efforts should be made to increase the effective supply according to local conditions in order to reduce structural constraints,and the social attributes should be integrated into ice and snow sports to resolve the inter-personal constraints.