浙江省地域资本禀赋差异及对经济韧性的影响

The Difference of County Capital Endowment and Its Impact on Economic Resilience in Zhejiang Province

运用指标体系法对浙江省县域资本进行了测度,使用多因素方差分析不同地域资本类型地区的经济韧性,在上述基础上,运用巴罗线性区域增长模型分析了地域资本与经济韧性之间的关系。研究结果表明:地域资本最丰富的地区(类型Ⅰ)为杭州市区和宁波市区,地域资本较为丰富地区(类型Ⅱ)包括淳安县、临安市、安吉县等16个地区,中间区(类型Ⅲ)包括富阳市、桐庐县等13个地区;地域资本较稀缺地区(类型Ⅳ)包括建德市、磐安县等20个地区,低地域资本地区(类型Ⅴ)包括庆元县、遂昌县等15个地区;地域资本最丰富的地区(类型Ⅰ)比其他类型地区更有韧性,而低地域资本地区(类型Ⅴ)韧性最低。国际金融危机期间,人均GDP与对最初冲击的抵抗力呈现正相关关系,与对缺口的阻力呈现负相关关系;外商直接投资越高的地区抵御冲击的能力越强;外部资本与人力资本对不同地区韧性均有显著影响,而集聚经济与韧性无直接关系;私营资本对韧性的作用较小。

With the index system method to measure the county capital in Zhejiang Province,this study uses the multi factor variance analysis to analyze the economic toughness of different regional capital types.On the above basis,it uses the barrow linear regional growth model to analyze the relationship between regional capital and economic toughness.The results show that the areas with the most abundant regional capital (type I) are Hangzhou and Ningbo.The less abundant includes 16 areas such as Chun’an County,Lin’an City and Anji County,and the middle area (type III) includes 13 areas such as Fuyang City and Tonglu County.The areas with scarce regional capital (type IV) include 20 regions such as Jiande City and Pan’an County,and the areas with low regional capital (type V) include 15 sub regions such as Qingyuan County and Suichang County.The region with the most abundant regional capital (type I) is more resilient than other regions,while the region with low regional capital (type V) is the least resilient.During the international financial crisis,per capita GDP showed a positive correlation with the resistance to the initial impact and a negative correlation with the resistance to the gap.The higher the foreign direct investment,the stronger the ability to resist the impact.External capital and human capital have significant effects on resilience in different regions,while agglomeration economy has no direct relationship with resilience.Private capital has little effect on resilience.