祁连山国家公园甘肃片区生态-经济-社会耦合协调发展评价

An assessment on the coordinated development of ecology,economy and society in Gansu section of Qilian Mountain National Park

基于耦合协调模型构建祁连山国家公园甘肃片区的生态、经济、社会三个子系统的评价指标体系,结合三个子系统的各自发展特点选取评价指标,分析2011—2020年统计数据,采用熵值法计算指标权重,并进行耦合协调度计算,分析三个子系统的发展情况。结果表明:生态、经济、社会三个子系统相互影响、关联性大、耦合度高,基本处于高水平耦合状态;根据综合评价值计算,生态子系统的发展先下降后升高,而经济和社会子系统呈稳步升高趋势,生态子系统的逐渐向好发展与国家公园政策的实施有密切关系;三个子系统的协调度稳步提高,先后经历了濒临失调衰退、初级协调发展、中级协调发展和良好协调发展四个阶段。由此可见,国家公园对保护当地生态环境,促进经济、社会发展具有重要作用。

Based on the coupling coordination model,we constructed an evaluation index system of three subsystems including ecology,economy,and society in the Gansu section of Qilian Mountain National Park.The evaluation indices were selected according to the respective development characteristics of the three subsystems,and the statistical data from 2011 to 2020 were analyzed.The entropy method was used to calculate those indices.The coupling coordination degrees were calculated to analyze the development of the three subsystems.The results showed that the ecological,economic and social subsystems affected each other,were highly correlated,and had a high degree of coupling.They were basically at a high-level coupling state.According to the calculations of comprehensive evaluation value,the development of the ecological subsystem declined first and then rose,while the economic and social subsystems showed a steady rising trend.Gradual improvement of the ecological subsystem was closely related to the implementation of national park policy.The coordination degrees of the three subsystems have been improved steadily,and experienced four stages,including the verge of maladjustment and decline,primary coordinated development,intermediate coordinated development,and good coordinated development.Therefore,the national park plays an important role in protecting the local ecological environment and promoting economic and social development.