鲁豫皖物流业碳排放测算及影响因素分析

Carbon Emission Measurement and Influencing Factors Analysis of Logistics Industry in Luyuwan

作为第三利润源,物流业的高质量发展及低碳运营已成为近些年学术研究的热点。通过对山东省、河南省和安徽省物流业碳排放进行对比研究,探讨了物流业碳排放的测算问题及影响因素分析。首先,测算出鲁豫皖2009~2019年物流业的碳排放量;其次,通过LMDI分解法对碳排放的驱动因素进行量化分解与分析,得到每项因素的贡献值。结果发现:各因素对碳排放的影响程度各不相同,山东、安徽两省碳排放量的增长主要归因于经济增长,安徽省碳排放量增长源自不合理的从业规模和能源强度。为此,针对性地提出了降低物流业碳排放的建议,以促进双碳目标的实现,亦为其他省份提供借鉴。

As the third profit source,the high-quality development and low-carbon operation of logistics industry have become a hot academic research topic in recent years.Based on the comparative study of Shandong province,Henan province and Anhui province,this paper discusses the measurement and influencing factors of logistics carbon emissions.Firstly,the carbon emissions of logistics industry in Luyuwan from 2009 to 2019 were calculated.Secondly,the driving factors of carbon emissions were quantitatively decomposed and analyzed by LMDI decomposition method,and the contribution value of each factor was obtained.The results show that the growth of carbon emission in Shandong and Anhui provinces is mainly due to the growth of economic output,while the growth of carbon emissions in Anhui province is due to the unreasonable number of employment and energy intensity.Therefore,suggestions on reducing the carbon emission of logistics industry are put forward to promote the realization of dual carbon goals,which also provides reference for other provinces.