拜登政府的南海叙事逻辑、政策意涵与行为选择

The Biden Administration’s South China Sea Policies:Narrative,Implications and Action

拜登当选美国总统后,美国的南海政策走向以及南海行为方式,引发了南海周边国家广泛关注。南海一系列新态势、新情况将如何影响拜登政府在南海的行为选择,是一个重要的政策议题。以拜登政府官方话语为基础,对拜登政府的南海叙事逻辑和政策意涵进行了分析,并以美国国会、议员、智库的观点为支撑,对拜登政府南海行为的实施、主要特点和未来发展趋势进行了探讨。拜登政府正在构建以中美战略竞争为主基调的南海故事,通过加强在南海的“灰色地带”行动增加中国行动成本,并通过构建南海“同盟—伙伴关系”网络增强遏制中国的实力。这项研究为研判拜登政府南海政策走向提供了参考。

As Biden was elected the president of the United States,the policy and trends of action of the United States in the South China Sea(SCS)have aroused widespread concerns in the neighboring countries of the SCS.Therefore,how the Biden administration’s SCS policy change in the future is a valuable issue.Based on the official discourse of U.S.government,the author analyzes the SCS narrative logic and policy implications of the Biden administration.At the same time,the author examines the trend of specific actions and its features of the Biden administration in the South China Sea,supported by the views of the U.S.congress,congressmen,and think tanks.The author points out that the Biden administration has constructed a South China Sea story based on the logic of strategic competition between China and the United States which results in U.S.“gray zone”operations in the South China Sea,aiming to increase China’s cost.Also,the Biden administration will construct a closely linked network of“alliance-partnership”to contain China.The article tries to provides a helpful reference for judging the direction of the Biden administration’s SCS policy.