卫生投入、居民健康水平和我国经济增长相互促进的计量经济模型研究

Study on the Econometrics Model of Mutual Promotion of Health Investment,Health Level and Economic Growth in China

使用单位根检验与协整理论分析了我国卫生投入、居民健康水平和经济增长之间的关系。采用预期寿命、新生儿死亡率和平均受教育年限作为我国居民健康水平的代理变量,分析它与我国GDP增长之间的关系并得到了相应的回归模型。基于2014年全国31个省区市的地区生产总值、年末从业人员数与卫生投入的数据,对我国区域卫生投入进行了统计检验,实证分析了区域卫生投入对其经济增长的贡献。发现卫生投入对于提高当地经济增长有显著效果且具有明显的区域特征。内生经济增长模型回归结果显示,卫生投入的增多,能促进居民健康水平的提高,进而促进经济增长。

Based on unit root test and co-integration theory,this paper analyzed the relationships of China's investment in health,health level and economic growth.Using life expectancy,infant mortality rate and average schooling years as the proxy variables for the health level of Chinese residents,the relationship between it and Chinese GDP growth was analyzed and then obtained the corresponding regression model.also made statistical test for local Chinese health investment,Based on the data of the GDP,the number of employees at the end of the year and the health investment in 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities in 2014,the regional health investment in China was statistically tested,and the contribution of regional health investment to its economic growth was empirically analyzed.It was found that health investment had a significant effect on improving local economic growth,with obvious regional characteristics.The endogenous economic growth model regression results showed that the increase of health investment promoted the improvement of the health level of residents and thus promoted the economic growth.