2021年新疆羊肉市场形势分析及2022年展望

Analysis of Xinjiang Mutton Market Situation in 2021 and Outlook for 2022

为分析2021年新疆羊肉市场形势,展望2022年市场趋势,本文从价格、消费、产量、养殖成本和其它因素等五个方面,对2021年新疆羊肉市场形势进行分析,对2022年市场趋势进行展望。分析发现:2021年,新疆羊肉价格持续上涨不断突破历史高位,羊肉消费稳中有增,羊肉产量显著增长,肉羊养殖成本高位运行,其它不确定性影响因素增多。2022年预计,新疆羊肉市场供需偏紧状况持续改善,羊肉价格波段式缓慢回调,羊肉消费温和增长,羊肉供给明显增长,肉羊养殖成本高位趋涨,其它因素影响趋于平稳。因此,政府应加强市场监测,做好羊肉市场调控;养殖经营主体应调整肉羊生产结构,控制养殖成本;消费者应调整肉类消费组合,合理理性消费。

In order to analyze the Xinjiang mutton market situation in 2021 and look forward to the market trend in 2022,the market situation of Xinjiang mutton in 2021 was analyzed from five aspects of price,consumption,production,breeding cost and other factors,and the market trend in 2022 was forecasted.The analysis shows that,in 2021,the price of mutton in Xinjiang continued to rise,breaking through the historical high,the mutton consumption increased steadily,the output of mutton increased significantly,the cost of mutton sheep breeding operated at a high level,and other factors affecting uncertainties increased.It is expected that in 2022,the tight supply and demand situation of Xinjiang mutton market will continue to improve,and the mutton price will slow down in band,mutton consumption will increase moderately,mutton supply will increase significantly,mutton sheep breeding high costs will rise,other factors will tend to be stable.Therefore,the government should strengthen market monitoring and regulate the mutton market;the breeding operators should adjust the production structure and control the breeding cost;the consumers should adjust the meat consumption combination and consume rationally.