长三角区域产业结构升级与技术创新间代偿关系分析

Compensatory mechanism between technology innovation and industrial structure upgrading in Yangtze River Delta

以长三角区域为例,尝试将代偿理论引入管理学研究领域,旨在借助代偿理论解释区域经济增长不可持续问题.基于2008-2018年长三角区域27个城市的面板数据,运用共线性检验排除共线性因素对模型科学性的干扰作用,在此基础上构建代偿关系模型,实证研究长三角区域产业结构升级与技术创新之间的代偿关系.研究结果表明:产业结构升级对技术创新存在代偿作用,代偿关系的发生取决于技术创新水平.当技术创新水平较低时,产业结构升级无法独立、直接促进经济增长;当技术创新水平中等时,产业结构升级能够部分代偿技术创新对经济增长的直接驱动作用,直接促进经济增长;当技术创新水平较高时,产业结构升级对技术创新的代偿作用则会消失.文中研究将代偿理论与区域研究相结合,并为长三角区域可持续发展提供启示.

Taking the Yangtze River Delta region as an example,this study attempts to introduce the compensation relationship into the field of management research,aiming to explain the issue of unsustainable regional economic growth with the theoretical framework of the compensation theory.Based on the panel data of 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2008 to 2018,collinearity test was used to eliminate the interference of collinearity factors on the scientific nature of the model,and on this basis,a compensation relationship model was constructed to empirically study the compensation relationship between industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation in the Yangtze River Delta region.The results indicate that industrial structure upgrading has a compensatory effect on technological innovation,and the compensatory relationship depends on the level of technological innovation:When the level of technological innovation is low,the upgrading of industrial structure cannot promote economic growth independently and directly;when the level of technological innovation is medium,the upgrading of industrial structure can partially compensate the direct driving effect of technological innovation on economic growth and directly promote economic growth;when the level of technological innovation is high,the compensation effect of industrial structure upgrading on technological innovation will disappear.This study combines the compensatory relationship with regional research and provides enlightenment for the sustainable development of the Yangtze River Delta region.