“一带一路”沿线国家投资政治风险比较研究被引量：1

Comparative Study on the Political Risks of Investment in the Countries along the“Belt and Road”

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摘要基于世界银行数据库,参照《全球治理指数》,构建“一带一路”沿线国家投资的政治风险指标,通过选取2012-2020年间中国对外直接投资流量额均值大于2000万美元的22个样本国家,运用因子分析模型和SPSS软件,对2012-2020年22个样本国家的政治风险进行比较分析。研究结果表明:投资均额较多的东道国所面临的政治风险较大,同时,“一带一路”沿线国家面临的政治风险复杂多变,区域内各国家的政治风险存在明显差异。因此建议投资者合理规划投资的区域结构,加强对“一带一路”沿线国家政治风险的识别和评估。 Based on the World Bank database and referring to the“Global Governance Index”,the political risk index of investment in countries along the“Belt and Road”is constructed.By selecting 22 countries as the sample with an average value of China’s foreign direct investment flow of more than 20 million US dollars from 2012 to 2020,using factor analysis model and SPSS software,to compare and analyze the political risk of the 22 sample countries.The research results show that the political risks faced by the host countries with more average investment are relatively large.At the same time,the political risks faced by the countries along the“Belt and Road”are complex and changeable,and there are obvious differences in the political risks of countries in the region.Therefore,investors are advised to rationally plan the regional structure of investment,and strengthen the identification and assessment of political risks in the countries along the“Belt and Road”.

作者桂萍李蕾 GUI Ping;LI Lei(School of Management,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430070,Hubei,China)

机构地区武汉理工大学管理学院

出处《武汉理工大学学报（社会科学版）》 2022年第2期13-21,共9页 Journal of Wuhan University of Technology:Social Sciences Edition

基金教育部重大攻关项目“对‘一带一路’沿线国家投资风险监测预警体系研究”(19JZD053)。

关键词一带一路对外直接投资政治风险因子分析风险评价 the Belt and Road foreign direct investment political risk factor analysis risk assessment

分类号 F125 [经济管理—世界经济]

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参考文献2

1陈菲琼,钟芳芳.中国海外直接投资政治风险预警系统研究[J].浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）,2012,42(1):87-99. 被引量：42
2孟凡臣,蒋帆.中国对外直接投资政治风险量化评价研究[J].国际商务研究,2014,35(5):87-96. 被引量：18

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