甘肃省农产品物流影响因素研究——基于灰色关联分析

Study on Influencing Factors of Agricultural Products Logistics in Gansu Province--Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

物流对农产品的发展至关重要,尤其对促进当地社会经济发展起着不可忽视的作用。文章基于2010~2020年甘肃省地区生产总值,邮路及农村投递总长度,民用载货汽车,公路营运汽车拥有量,铁路营运里程,公路营运里程,农产品产量,交通运输、仓储业和邮政业从业人数等8个评价指标的统计数据,运用灰色关联法,分析8个评价变量对货物总周转量的影响,其关联程度:x_(6)(0.997)>x_(5)(0.994)>x_(3)(0.987)>x_(4)(0.966)>x_(8)(0.951)>x_(1)(0.935)>x_(7)(0.724)>x_(2)(0.669),其中货物总周转量与农产品产量关联系数最大、关联度最高,与邮路及农村投递总长度关联系数最小,关联度最低。根据分析结果提出相应建议,对甘肃省农产品物流发展具有一定的借鉴意义。

Logistics is very important to the development of agricultural products,especially to promote local social and economic development plays a role that can not be ignored.This article is based on 2010~2020 in Gansu province GDP,post road and rural the total length of delivery,civilian truck,highway operating car ownership,railway mileage,operating highway mileage,agricultural production,transportation,warehousing and postal service and so on eight workers evaluation index statistics,using the method of grey correlation,analyze the influence of 8 evaluation variables on the total turnover of goods and their correlation degree:x_(6)0.997>x_(5)0.994>x_(3)0.987>x_(4)0.966>x_(8)0.951>x_(1)0.935>x_(7)0.724>x_(2)0.669.The correlation coefficient and correlation degree between total turnover of goods and output of agricultural products are the highest.It has the lowest correlation coefficient and the lowest correlation degree with the total length of postal road and rural delivery.According to the analysis results,corresponding suggestions are put forward,which has certain reference significance for the development of agricultural products logistics in Gansu province.