人工智能技术赋能国际贸易的效应研究

Research on the Effects of Artificial Intelligence Technology on International Trade

在对人工智能赋能国际贸易效应进行理论分析的基础上,创新了人工智能技术水平的评价指标,测度了主要国家的人工智能技术水平,建立面板数据模型实证研究了人工智能技术创新对贸易竞争优势的影响。结果表明:人工智能技术引发大量互补性技术创新,形成技术创新的“簇群”并催生新技术、新产品不断涌现,不但推动贸易规模扩大、贸易结构升级,而且对贸易竞争优势产生显著正向影响,使得各国比较优势与竞争优势发生深刻变化。产业规模、人力资本、全球开放程度、全要素生产率等均对贸易竞争力产生积极影响。

Based on the theoretical analysis of the effects of artificial intelligence on international trade,the evaluation indicators of technological level of artificial intelligence have been innovated,and the technological levels of artificial intelligence in major countries have been measured in the paper while the effects of technological innovation for artificial intelligence on competitive advantages for trade have been researched empirically by creating a panel data model.The research results show that:artificial intelligence technology has led to a large number of complementary technological innovations and formed a“cluster”of technological innovations,accelerating the continuous emergence of new technologies and products.Moreover,it not only promotes the expansion of trade scale and the upgrade of trade structure,but also has significant positive effects on competitive advantages for trade,profoundly changing the comparative advantages and competitive advantages of various countries.Industry scale,human capital,global openness and total-factor productivity all have positive effects on trade competitiveness.