后疫情时代东北亚区域经济合作探析

Analysis on Regional Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia in the Post-epidemic Era

目前东北亚区域经济合作制度呈现“碎片化”特征,区域性经济合作框架仍有待完善,在农业等领域的贸易壁垒仍然存在。与此同时,持续肆虐的新冠疫情造成了区域产业链供应链的局部紊乱,地缘政治因素在一定程度上阻碍了区域经济合作的进程。尽管如此,后疫情时代下的东北亚区域经济合作仍然潜力巨大。域内各国人文交流频繁,产业结构互补性强,各国间贸易依存度高,而RCEP的正式生效更是有力促进了区域内各要素的自由流动。未来东北亚国家将继续推动中日韩自贸区谈判进程和中蒙俄经济走廊建设,以“抱团取暖”的方式向着区域经济一体化的方向不断迈进。

At present, the regional economic cooperation system in Northeast Asia is characterized by "fragmentation". The regional economic cooperation framework still needs to be improved, and trade barriers still exist in agriculture and other fields. At the same time, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has caused local disruption of regional industrial and supply chains, and geopolitical factors have hindered the process of regional economic cooperation to a certain extent. Nevertheless, there is still great potential for regional economic cooperation in Northeast Asia in the post-pandemic era. Countries in the region have frequent cultural exchanges, highly complementary industrial structures and high trade dependence. The official entry into force of the RCEP has effectively promoted the free flow of various elements in the region. In the future, Northeast Asian countries will continue to promote the negotiation process of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Area and the construction of China-Mongolia-Russia economic Corridor, and make continuous progress towards regional economic integration by "huddling together to keep warm".