疫情冲击企业的恢复动力学模型研究

Research on Recovery Dynamics Model of Enterprises Impacted By the Epidemic

为了促进企业从新冠肺炎疫情的冲击中恢复,提升企业恢复力,本文梳理总结企业恢复力的影响因素,包括个人、企业、外部环境等层面,建立了企业恢复力的研究框架;其次结合疫情及其防控的特点从动力学的视角建立了企业恢复的研究模型,解释了企业恢复力的组成及表征形式;然后探讨了企业恢复的动量、冲量、动能等,分别从时间和空间解释了恢复力对企业恢复状态的影响;最后建立了新冠肺炎疫情背景下企业恢复的过程模型。模型表明领导者特质和能力、企业资源、企业规模、疫情冲击、政策援助等因素通过影响企业恢复力来决定企业恢复的加速度、速度、动量和动能,进而决定了企业恢复的状态。

In order to promote the recovery of enterprises from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic,and improve the resilience of enterprises.This paper first summarizes the influencing factors of enterprise resilience,including individuals,enterprises,external environment,etc.,and establishes a research framework for enterprise resilience.Secondly,combined with the characteristics of the epidemic and its prevention and control,a research model of enterprise recovery is established from the perspective of dynamics,and the composition and representation form of enterprise resilience are explained.Then,it discusses the momentum,impulse,kinetic energy,etc.of enterprise recovery,and explains the impact of resilience on the recovery state of enterprises from time and space,respectively.Finally,a process model for enterprise recovery under the background of the COVID-19 pandemic is established.The model shows that factors such as leader characteristics and capabilities,corporate resources,corporate scale,epidemic impact,and policy assistance determine the acceleration,speed,momentum,and kinetic energy of corporate recovery by affecting corporate resilience,which in turn determines the state of corporate recovery.