日本双循环发展格局的经验及对中国的启示

The Experience of Japan's Dual Cycle Development Pattern and Its Implications for China

二战后日本构建了双循环发展格局,通过提高国民收入、提升供给质量、扩大内需形成了内循环发展格局,通过发展进出口贸易、对外直接投资和政府开发援助形成了外循环发展格局。内外循环格局之间相互协调、联动发展,成就了高速增长的经济奇迹。但是,20世纪90年代泡沫经济崩溃后,结构性问题凸显,内循环陷入困境,双循环发展格局趋于失衡,出现了长达30年的大萧条。中日两国在经济发展模式等方面存在着诸多相似之处,日本双循环发展格局的成败经验对当前中国构建双循环新发展格局具有重要的启示与借鉴意义。中国应高度警惕经济泡沫化的发展,推动供给侧改革和需求侧管理,处理好市场与政府的关系,坚持深化改革,扩大对外开放。

After World War II,Japan established a dual cycle development pattern.It formed an internal cycle development pattern by increasing national income,improving supply quality,and expanding domestic demand,and formed an external cycle development pattern by developing import and export trade,foreign direct investment,and government development assistance.The internal and external circulation patterns have developed in coordination and linkage with each other,which has achieved an economic miracle of rapid growth.However,after the collapse of the bubble economy in 1990s,structural problems became prominent,the internal circulation was in a predicament,the dual cycle development pattern became unbalanced,and the depression lasted for three decades.There are many similarities between China and Japan in terms of economic development model.The success or failure of Japan's dual cycle development pattern has important implications for China to build a new dual cycle development pattern.China should be very vigilant against the development of economic bubbles,promote supply-side reform and demand-side management,properly handle the relationship between market and government,persist in deepening reform and expand opening to the outside world.