我国物流业“马太效应”的实证检验及空间解释--基于资本和劳动力双资源配置视角

An Empirical Test and Spatial Explanation of the“Matthew Effect”in China’s Logistics Industry:from the Perspective of Dual Resource Allocation of Capital and Labor

【目的/意义】在区域协调发展战略作为建设现代化经济体系中的重要任务背景下,研究我国区域物流业发展马太效应,探索其规律,为优化物流业资源配置、推动物流业高质量发展提供依据。【设计/方法】首先借助Markov链模型从资本和劳动力双资源配置视角验证物流业“马太效应”的存在,然后通过Moran’s I、GIS等方法从空间视角解释其存在的原因。【结论/发现】(1)物流业发展存在显著的“马太效应”,高水平阵营和低水平阵营的双资源配置固化特征明显,且固化差距随时间演进不断扩大,资本资源“马太效应”分界点的出现会早于劳动力资源。(2)物流业“马太效应”的存在与双资源配置的空间布局相关。(3)双资源配置中低、中高水平阵营的固化程度弱于高、低两大阵营,存在向上提升和向下降级的可能。

[Purpose/Significance]Under the background of regional coordinated development strategy as an important task in the construction of modern economic system,this paper studies the Matthew effect of regional logistics industry in China and explores its laws,to provide a basis for optimizing the allocation of logistics resources and promoting the high-quality development of the logistics industry.[Design/Methodology]Firstly,with the help of Markov chain model,the existence of“Matthew effect”in logistics industry is verified from the perspective of capital and labor resource allocation,and then the reasons for its existence are explained from the spatial perspective by Moran’s I,GIS and other methods.[Conclusions/Findings](1)There is a significant“Matthew effect”in the development of logistics industry,the solidification characteristics of the dual resource allocation between the high-level camp and the low-level camp are obvious,and the solidification gap expands with time.The demarcation point of“Matthew effect”of capital resources will appear earlier than labor resources.(2)The existence of“Matthew effect”in logistics industry is related to the spatial layout of dual resource allocation.3.The solidification degree of low-level and medium-high-level camps in dual resource allocation is weaker than that of high-level and low-level camps,and there is the possibility of upward promotion and downgrade.