碳排放和经济增长关系的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth

根据中国福建省、广东省、广西、海南省、云南省边境省份的相关数据,建立柯布道格拉斯生产函数模型,进行实证分析。在控制进出口、劳动力和投资的情况下,得出二氧化碳排放量与所在地区经济发展间存在正向相关关系,即二氧化碳排放量的增加在一定程度上可以促进经济增长。在控制变量中,劳动力对经济增长的贡献最大。由此可知,我国不能主要依赖于消耗能源带动经济增长,更应该转化增长方式,实现经济的转型。

Based on the relevant data of Fujian Province, Guangdong Province, Guangxi, Hainan Province and Yunnan Province, the Cobb Douglas production function is established for empirical analysis.In the condition of the import and export, labor and investment could be controlled, it is concluded that there is a positive correlation between carbon dioxide emissions and the economic development of the region, that is, the increase of carbon dioxide emissions can promote economic growth to a certain extent.Among the control variables, labor force contributes the most to economic growth. It can be seen that China cannot rely mainly on energy consumption to drive economic growth, but should transform the growth mode and realize economic transformation.