新型城镇化对我国居民服务消费影响研究

Research on the Impact of New Urbanization on Residents’Service Consumption in China

新型城镇化建设是扩大内需的重要动力,这一重大结构调整若能拉动内需,改善居民服务消费,便能使这一动力更加强劲。首先,基于中国31个省(市、自治区)2007—2020年的面板数据,运用熵值法构建了新型城镇化综合指标。随后,通过动态面板GMM估计方法,考察了我国新型城镇化对居民服务消费的影响。最后,得出结论:新型城镇化对居民服务消费的增长具有显著促进作用,并且地区的交通通达性、政府财政支出有利于居民服务消费需求的增加,而老龄人口比重增加会抑制居民服务消费。因此,持续推进新型城镇化建设可激发居民消费需求,挖掘居民服务消费潜力。

The construction of new urbanization is an important driving force to expand domestic demand.If the major structural adjustment can stimulate domestic demand and improve residents’service consumption,it will make this driving force stronger.Firstly,based on the panel data of 31 provinces(municipalities,autonomous regions)in China from 2007 to 2020,the entropy method is used to construct a new comprehensive index of urbanization.Then,through the dynamic panel GMM estimation method,this paper examines the impact of China’s new urbanization on residents’service consumption.Finally,it is concluded that new urbanization has a significant role in promoting the growth of residents’service consumption,and regional transportation accessibility and government fiscal expenditure are conducive to the increase of residents’demand for service consumption,while the increase in the proportion of the elderly population will inhibit residents’service consumption.Therefore,continuously promoting the construction of new urbanization can stimulate the consumption demand of residents and discover the consumption potential of residents’services.