基于沃克模型测度的我国反洗钱工作研究

Research on the Anti-money Laundering in China Based on Walker Model

我国第十次反洗钱工作部际联席会议指出,新时代反洗钱工作已成为提高国家治理能力和参与全球治理的重要方面,要切实提高政治站位,深刻认识反洗钱工作的重要意义。为此,应切实加强我国洗钱规模分析及反洗钱工作研究。IMF曾预测全球洗钱规模占全球GDP的2%-5%,大致体现了洗钱规模与经济数据间的定量关系,有学者研究表明,随着经济的快速发展,洗钱规模会随之不断扩大,且洗钱对经济增长有负面影响,不利于金融稳定和经济的健康长远发展。目前,我国未对洗钱规模等数据进行官方统计、测算,无法直观、量化的反映我国洗钱犯罪活动的情况。因此,本文试图引入国际公认的沃克模型测度近年来我国的洗钱规模,旨在为理论研究提供数据支撑和证明,并提出相关建议。

The 10th inter ministerial Joint Conference on anti-money laundering in China pointed out that anti-money laundering in the new era has become an important aspect of improving national governance capacity and participating in global governance.We should effectively improve our political position and deeply understand the significance of anti-money laundering.Therefore,we should strengthen the analysis of the scale of money laundering and the research on anti-money laundering in China.IMF once predicted that the scale of global money laundering accounts for 2%-5% of global GDP,which roughly reflects the quantitative relationship between the scale of money laundering and economic data.Some scholars have shown that with the rapid development of economy,the scale of money laundering will continue to expand,and money laundering has a negative impact on economic growth,which is not conducive to financial stability and the healthy and long-term development of economy.At present,there is no official statistics and calculation on the scale of money laundering in China,which can not directly and quantitatively reflect the situation of money laundering criminal activities in China.Therefore,this paper attempts to introduce the internationally recognized Walker model to measure the scale of money laundering in China in recent years,in order to provide data support and proof for theoretical research,and put forward relevant suggestions.