稳住经济大盘,构建中国发展确定性

Stabilize the Overall Economy and Build Certainty for China’s Development

近年来,我国经济发展环境发生深刻变化,不稳定性、不确定性明显增加。这一局面的出现,在很大程度上是新冠疫情蔓延、西方主导的全球化走向终结以及“三重压力”加剧等因素汇聚叠加的结果。应努力增加“稳住”的确定性因素,以应对经济发展的“不确定性”,具体来说,应通过“稳就业、稳收入”来构建民生的确定性,通过数字经济来提升我国未来发展的确定性,并通过增强政策弹性、开展政策风险评估以及加大部门间协调联动来避免公共政策的“合成谬误”“分解谬误”,从而稳住经济大盘、为中国高质量发展注入更大确定性。

In recent years,China’s economic development environment has undergone profound changes,and instability and uncertainty have increased significantly.To a large extent,this situation is the result of a combination of factors such as the spread of COVID-19,the end of Western-led globalization and the intensification of the"triple pressure".Efforts should be made to increase the certainty factors of"stabilization"to cope with the"uncertainty"of economic development.Specifically,we should build the certainty of people’s livelihood by"stabilizing employment and income",and enhance the certainty of China’s future development through digital economy.By enhancing policy flexibility,carrying out policy risk assessment and enhancing coordination among departments,we can avoid the"fallacy of composition"and"fallacy of decomposition"of public policies,thus stabilizing the overall economy and injecting greater certainty into China’s high-quality development.