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Past and Future Changes in Climate and Water Resources in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin: Current Understanding and Future Research Directions

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摘要 The Lancang–Mekong River(LMR)is an important transboundary river that originates from the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau,China and flows through six nations before draining into the South China Sea.Knowledge about the past and future changes in climate and water for this basin is critical in order to support regio-nal sustainable development.This paper presents a comprehensive review of the scientific progress that has been made in understanding the changing climate and water systems,and discusses outstanding challenges and future research opportunities.The existing literature suggests that:①The warming rate in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin(LMRB)is higher than the mean global warming rate,and it is higher in its upper portion,the Lancang River Basin(LRB),than in its lower portion,the Mekong River Basin(MRB);②historical precipitation has increased over the LMRB,particularly from 1981 to 2010,as the wet season became wetter in the entire basin,while the dry season became wetter in the LRB but drier in the MRB;③in the past,streamflow increased in the LRB but slightly decreased in the MRB,and increases in streamflow are projected for the future in the LMRB;and④historical streamflow increased in the dry season but decreased in the wet season from 1960 to 2010,while a slight increase is projected during the wet season.Four research directions are identified as follows:①investigation of the impacts of dams on river flow and local communities;②implementation of a novel water–energy–food–ecology(WEFE)nexus;③integration of groundwater and human health management with water resource assessment and management;and④strengthening of transboundary collaboration in order to address sustainable development goals(SDGs).
出处 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS 2022年第6期144-152,共9页 工程(英文)
基金 supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA20060402) the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41625001 and 41571022) the Pengcheng Scholar Program of Shenzhen,the National High-Level Talents Special Support Plan(“Ten Thousand Talents Plan”),the High-level Special Funding of the Southern University of Science and Technology(G02296302 and G02296402) the Leading Innovative Talent Program for young and middle-aged scholars by the Ministry of Science and Technology the National Science Foundation(CAREER Award,1752729).
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