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Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 in Mediterranean Island

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摘要 The aim of this study is to examine the progress of the worldwide pandemic Covid-19.As authors,we have decided to analyze the situation of COVID-19 onMediterranean islandwith accurate data.For this purpose,amathematical model is constructed and proposed by dividing the whole population into sensible and suitable compartments.The study captures the dates February 01 till May 15,2021.For the control of the spread of disease,vaccination and infection rates are compared and calculated.During calculations and comparison,MatLab software is used.All of the data that are used are taken from the Ministry of Health.The effect of parameters is examined with sensitivity analysis.Furthermore,with this analysis,values of parameters are obtained.Afterwards,by using the constructed model,the effect of vaccine on infected individuals is analyzed separately.As a result,it is concluded that the studied part of the island is late for the control of the disease via vaccine.This can be explained by two main reasons;vaccinating the people that are not inmobilitymost of the time(aged people and people with chronic diseases)and getting the vaccine late.Hence,the results showed that this rate and distribution of vaccines would not be enough to control the pandemic on the island.
出处 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2022年第1期133-148,共16页 工程与科学中的计算机建模(英文)
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