人情对农户土地流转的双重影响:替代与规模效应

Dual Impact of Gift Spending on the Land Circulation of Rural Households:Substitution and Scale Effect

【目的/意义】研究“人情”在农村土地流转中的作用,防止土地流转市场被“人情”所异化,为构建一个规范合理的农村土地流转市场提供对策建议。【方法/过程】基于CSS2017年调查数据,构建人情支出与农户土地流转的关系模型,实证检验人情支出对农户土地流转的影响。【结果/结论】研究发现:人情支出对农户土地流转具有显著的替代效应,农户通过流转土地弥补由于人情支出增加造成的相对收入损失;当人情支出增加1%时,农户流转土地概率增加3%;人情支出对农户土地转入具有明显的规模效应,随着人情支出的增加,农户转入土地概率提高,但受到规模报酬递减规律的约束,人情支出对农户土地转入的影响总体上呈“倒U”型关系,即人情支出对土地转入的影响存在一个“拐点”,这一“拐点”之后,人情支出的继续增加将使农户土地转入的可能性显著下降,并使相对收入损失的弥补效果减弱。

【Objective/Meaning】The role of“human feelings”in the rural land circulation was studied,in order to prevent the land circulation market from being alienated by“human feelings”,and provide countermeasures and suggestions for building a standardized and reasonable rural land circulation market.【Methods/Procedures】Based on the survey data of CSS in 2017,the relationship model between the gift spending and the land circulation of farmers was constructed to empirically test the impact of the gift spending on the land circulation of rural households.【Results/Conclusions】The study found that the gift spending had significant substitution effect on the land circulation of rural households,and the farmers would make up for the loss of relative income caused by the increase in the gift spending through the land circulation.When the gift spending increased by 1%,the probability of land circulation of rural households increased by 3%.The gift spending had a significant scale effect on the land circulation of rural households.With the increase of gift spending,the probability of rural households’transfer-in land increased,but was also restrained by the law of decreasing returns to scale.The impact of the gift spending on rural households’transfer-in land showed a generally“inverted U”type relationship.In other words,there was an“inflection point”in the impact of gift spending on the transfer-in land.After this“inflection point”,the continued increase of gift spending would significantly reduce the possibility of rural households’transfer-in land and weaken the compensation effect of the relative income loss.