湖南省产业结构发展历程及发展趋势分析

Analysis on the Development Process and Development Trend of Industrial Structure in Hunan Province

钱纳里模式指出,三次产业所占比重的变化趋势一般为,从“一二三”向“二一三”或“二三一”,进而向“三二一”转变。从湖南省近40年三次产业结构的产值来看,基本符合这一趋势,且正稳步趋向“三二一”的过程。结合湖南省产业投资布局现状和湖南省“十四五”发展规划,可能窥见湖南产业发展呈现工业经济持续向好、服务业成为产业支柱、先进制造业快速发展、农业现代化跨越式发展、文化产业发展壮大等趋势。

Hollis Chenery pointed out that the change trend of the proportion of the three industries is generally from“one two three”to“two one three”or“two three one”,and then to“three two one”.From the output value of the three industrial structures in Hunan Province in recent 40 years,it is basically in line with this trend and is steadily moving towards“three two one”.Combined with the current situation of industrial investment layout in Hunan Province and the 14th five year development plan of Hunan Province,it is possible to see the trends of industrial development in Hunan Province,such as the continuous improvement of industrial economy,the service industry becomes the industrial pillar,the rapid development of advanced manufacturing industry,the leapfrog development of agricultural modernization,and the development and growth of cultural industry.