2022年1月上旬全球重点国家新冠肺炎输入风险评估

Risk assessment for COVID-19 importation from key countries,early January,2022

目的评估2022年北京冬奥会前,境外重点国家新冠肺炎疫情输入我国的风险。方法自世界卫生组织、世界数据网等网站获取2021年12月21日至2022年1月4日的新冠肺炎疫情数据和防疫政策信息,依据北京海关制订的《境外新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情输入风险评估方案》,评估亚洲、北美洲、欧洲、大洋洲等12个国家新冠肺炎病例输入我国的风险。结果经评估,12个国家均处于输入高风险或极高风险水平,输入风险最高的国家是俄罗斯、美国和英国。与2021年12月下旬评估结果相比,德国和荷兰的输入风险下降,俄罗斯、日本的输入风险总体上升。结论2022年1月上旬,12个国家新冠肺炎疫情输入风险仍处于高水平,需严格开展口岸检疫。

Objective To assess the risk for COVID-19 importation from 12 key countries before the helding of the2022 Beijing Winter Olympics.Methods The data of COVID-19 pandemic and control measures during 21December 2021 to 4 January 2022 were collected from the websites of World Health Organization and Our World in Data.“The Plan for COVID-19 Importation Risk Assessment”was implied to conduct the risk assessment on the 12countries in Asia,North America,Europe and Oceania.Results The risk of importation was high or extremely high for the 12 countries,and the highest was from Russia,USA and UK.Compared to the late of December 2021,the risk of importation decreased in Germany and Netherland,while increased in Russia and Japan.Conclusion The risk of COVID-19 importation from the 12 countries was at high level in early January 2022,so strict health inspection at ports must be continued.