黄河河南段资源-生态-经济和谐发展水平及耦合协调分析

Resource-ecology-economy harmonious development and coupling coordination analysis of the Henan section of the Yellow River

以黄河河南段15个地级市为研究区,基于2008—2019年各地级市的面板数据,从资源、生态、经济3个维度构建评价指标体系,通过基于最小二乘法的AHP-熵权法组合权重模型确定指标权重,采用“单指标量化-多指标综合-多准则集成”综合评价方法(SMI-P)评估研究区资源-生态-经济系统的和谐发展水平,将“SMI-P”方法与耦合协调度模型相结合,综合评价研究区资源-生态-经济系统的耦合协调关系。结果表明在2008—2019年期间:15个地级市和谐发展水平整体呈现波动增长趋势,但均未达到“和谐”阶段,其中最优为郑州市(0.68),最差为濮阳市(0.51);15个地级市耦合协调关系逐渐向优质协调阶段集聚,但多数还处于中级和良好协调阶段,其中濮阳市协调发展速度较落后。

The problem of unbalanced and inadequate development among resource,ecology and economic systems in the Yellow River basin is becoming more and more prominent.Quantitative evaluation of the harmonious development level and analysis of the coupling and coordination relationship among them are of great significance to the high-quality development of the Yellow River basin.The 15 prefecture-level administrative regions in the Henan section of the Yellow River are taken as the research area and an evaluation indicator system from the three aspects of resources,ecology and economy is constructs based on the panel data of each region from 2008 to 2019.The combined weight model of AHP-entropy based on least square method is adopted to determine the weight of each indicator.It uses"SMI-P"evaluation method to evaluate the harmonious development level of resource-ecology-economy system.The"SMI-P"method is further combined with the coupling coordination model to comprehensively appraise the coupling coordination relation of resource-ecology-economy system in the study area.The results show that between 2008 and 2019:The harmonious development level of the fifteen prefecture-level administrative regions shows a trend of fluctuating growth on the whole,but none of them reached the"harmony"stage,and among them,Zhengzhou is the best(0.68),and Puyang is the worst(0.51);The coupling coordination relation of the fifteen prefecture-level administrative regions is gradually gathering to the stage of high-quality coordination,but most of them are still in the intermediate and good coordination stage,and the coordinated development speed of Puyang is relatively backward among them.