COP 26减碳目标下核电发展的必要性与可行性研究

Necessity and Feasibility Study of Nuclear Power Development under COP 26 Carbon Reduction Goals

COP 26提出的全球减碳目标对世界能源体系的低碳化做出了更高的要求。虽然2020年以来世界能源消耗量总体降低,但这也有疫情制约经济发展而导致能源需求下降的因素。为在满足我国经济社会高速发展能源需求的同时,实现含碳温室气体排放的降低,必须尽快改变我国现有相对落后的能源体系。基于COP 26框架下能源结构谋求低碳化发展的大背景,通过分析核电特性与我国能源结构短缺的互补与契合、核电经济性在当今社会发展条件下的优势以及国际上核电的总体进展,有针对性地论证了现阶段我国核电发展的必要性与可行性,并分析了其在我国能源低碳化进程中的作用。

The global carbon reduction goal proposed by COP 26 makes higher requirements for the low-carbon of the world energy system. Although the world’s energy consumption has generally decreased since 2020, there are still some factors that restrict economic development and lead to the decline of energy demand such as epidemic situation etc. In order to meet the energy demand of China’s rapid economic and social development and reduce carbon greenhouse gas emissions, China’s existing relatively backward energy system must be changed as soon as possible. Based on the background of seeking low-carbon development in the energy structure under the framework of COP 26, the author demonstrates the necessity and feasibility of China’s nuclear power development at this stage by analyzing the complementarities and fits between the characteristics of nuclear power and short shortcomings of China’s energy structure, the advantages of nuclear power economy in today’s social development conditions, the overall development progress of nuclear power in the world and also its role in the process of low-carbon energy in China.