黄河流域高质量发展水平时空演变与灰色关联分析--基于2000-2018年的实证

The Spatiotemporal Changes and Grey Relational Analysis of High-quality Development Level in the Yellow River Basin:An Empirical Research Based on the Data from 2000-2018

推动黄河流域9省区高质量发展,需首先构建科学合理的指标体系以测度黄河流域高质量发展水平。从系统论出发,分别构建了包含经济发展、科技创新和生态环境三个维度的高质量发展评价指标体系,运用熵权法对2000—2018年期间的时间与空间发展水平进行测度,并利用灰色关联模型分析了各指标之间的作用关系。研究表明:在空间上,黄河流域高质量发展呈现“东高西低,南高北低”的格局;在时间上,黄河流域高质量发展水平保持了稳定的增长态势,且科技创新引领作用逐渐凸显;在关联关系上,经济发展、科技创新和生态环境三个系统之间的发展存在不协调、不匹配等问题,生态环境成为制约黄河流域的高质量发展的关键问题。

To promote the high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,a scientific and reasonable indicator system must first be established to measure the high-quality development level of the Yellow River Basin.Starting from the system theory,a high-quality development evaluation index system including three dimensions of economic development,technological innovation and ecological environment has been constructed.The entropy method is used to measure the development level during 2000-2018,and the gray relational model is used to analyze the correlation between the indicators.Based on the research,the following conclusions can be drawn:In terms of space,the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin presents a pattern of“high in the east and low in the west,high in the south and low in the north”.In terms of time,the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin has maintained a steady growth trend,and the leading role of technological innovation has gradually become prominent.In terms of the relationship,there are problems such as incoordination and mismatch in the development of the three systems of economic development,technological innovation and ecological environment.The backwardness of the ecological environment has become a key issue that restricts the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.