“双减”背景下校外培训治理风险评估

Risk Assessment of the Governance of Off-campus Training under the“Double Reduction”Policy

“双减”政策触发教育利益结构调整,衍生诸多风险会使政策执行遭遇阻滞。精准识别并缓解乃至化解校外培训治理风险,对达成“双减”政策愿景是必要的。基于危机生命周期理论构建风险矩阵发现,中高风险指标多集中于政策实施后,具体表征为校外培训机构办学行为表面化、治理过程全异化、社会治安存在隐患等政策执行风险,教育焦虑不减反增的政策效应风险及社会负面舆论风险。完善校外培训治理机制、逐步改革教育评价方式、着力引导正向宣传舆论是应对校外培训治理风险的可行方略。

The“Double Reduction”policy has triggered a structural adjustment of educational interests,which has resulted in several risks that can stall the implementation of the policy.Accurately identifying and mitigating risks to the governance of outof-school training is necessary to achieve the policy vision of“double reduction”.Based on the crisis life cycle theory,the risk matrix shows that the medium and high risk indicators are mostly concentrated in the post-implementation period,and are characterized by the risks of policy implementation,such as the superficial behavior of out-of-school training institutions,the alienation of the governance process,and the hidden danger of social security,as well as the risks of policy effects and negative social opinion,due to the increase rather than decrease of educational anxiety.It is a feasible strategy to improve the governance mechanism of out-of-school training,gradually reform the way of education evaluation,and endeavor to guide positive publicity and public opinion.