俄乌冲突对全球经济的影响及中国的策略

The Impacts of Russia-Ukraine Conflicts on Global Economy and China’s strategies

当前,俄乌冲突已经演变成大国博弈的战场,波及全球经济和国际竞争格局,主要表现为:欧盟正成为最大输家,将进一步拉大与中美的差距;美欧对俄罗斯实施严厉制裁,让全球产业链出现撕裂;全球能源和粮食供需失衡,其价格大幅上涨;美欧对俄罗斯掠夺行径,造成西方信用体系出现崩塌。这些带给中国的既有挑战,也有机遇,中国应该保持高度警惕并谨慎应对:中国应对俄罗斯保持战略模糊,深化中欧经贸合作,应在能源、粮食领域拓展合作新空间,推进人民币国际化和数字人民币发展。

At present,the Russia-Ukraine conflicts have evolved into a game of superpowers.It has significantly changed the pattern of global economy and international competition.The main changes include that the EU is becoming the biggest loser,manifested in a widening gap with China and the United States;The severe sanctions imposed by the United States and Europe on Russia are tearing the global industrial chain apart;The imbalances between the supply and demand of global energy and food are making their prices roaring;The predatory behavior of the United States and Europe against Russia is leading to a collapse of the Western credit system.As for China,these bring both challenges and opportunities.China should keep on high alert and handle with caution,maintaining strategic ambiguity on Russia,deepening China-EU economic and trade cooperation,exploreing new space for cooperation in the fields of energy and food,and accelerating the internationalization of RMB and the development of digital RMB.