拉卜楞寺气候舒适度与客流量关系分析

Analysis on the Relationship Between Climate Comfort and Passenger Flow in Labrang Temple

利用10年气温、相对湿度、风速等气象要素资料,运用气候舒适度指数对拉卜楞寺气候舒适度进行月评价,分析2015—2019年拉卜楞寺客流量与气候舒适度相关性,结果表明:拉卜楞寺全年只有6—8月是舒适,4月、5月、9月为较舒适,其余时间均为不舒适或较不舒适。全年适宜开展旅游活动的天数为80.5 d,6—8月占了86%。客流量与气候舒适度指数呈乘幂指数相关,随着气候舒适度指数的增大,客流量呈乘幂指数增加。基于客流量和气候舒适度指数建立的模拟方程,模拟效果整体较好,气象部门可利用月气候预测计算当月气候舒适度指数,通过模拟方程模拟游客量,为旅游部门人员调配人力、调整服务提供依据。

Based on the data of meteorological elements such as temperature, relative humidity and wind speed in 10 years, the climate comfort index was used to evaluate the climate comfort of Labrang Temple monthly,and the correlation between the passenger flow of Labrang temple and climate comfort from 2015 to 2019 was analyzed. The results showed that Labrang Temple is comfortable only from June to August, more comfortable in April, may and September, and uncomfortable or less comfortable in the rest of the year.The number of days suitable for tourism activities throughout the year is 80.5 days,accounting for 86% from June to August. The passenger flow is exponentially correlated with the climate comfort index. With the increase of the climate comfort index, the passenger flow increases exponentially. The simulation equation based on the passenger flow and climate comfort index has a good overall simulation effect. The meteorological department can use the monthly climate prediction to calculate the climate comfort index of the current month, and simulate the number of tourists through the simulation equation, so as to provide a basis for the personnel of the tourism department to allocate manpower and adjust services.