农村金融规模、农村金融效率与农村经济增长

Rural Financial Scale,Rural Financial Efficiency and Rural Economic Growth:A Case Study of Anhui Province

为了探讨安徽省农村金融对农村经济增长的影响,将农村金融分为规模与效率两个维度,选取1992-2019年度时间序列数据,基于总量生产函数与VAR模型展开实证研究。结果表明,长期内,农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间存在稳定的均衡关系,农村金融规模与效率均负向影响农村经济增长;农村金融规模与农村经济增长存在双向的格兰杰因果关系,农村金融效率是农村经济增长单方向的格兰杰原因;短期内,农村金融规模与农村金融效率对农村经济增长的脉冲影响渐趋稳定,二者对农村经济增长方差的变化皆具有一定的贡献度。加大农村金融对农村经济的资金支持,提高农村生产效率,完善农村金融信用环境,加强农村金融创新,有利于发挥农村金融对农村经济增长的促进作用。

In order to explore the impact of rural finance on rural economic growth in Anhui Province,this paper divides rural finance into rural financial scale and rural financial efficiency,selects the annual time series data from 1992 to 2019,and carries out empirical research based on total production function and VAR model.The results show that in the long run,there is a stable equilibrium relationship between rural financial development and rural economic growth,and rural financial scale and rural financial efficiency have a negative impact on rural economic growth.There is a two-way Granger causality between rural financial scale and rural economic growth,and rural financial efficiency is the one-way Granger cause of rural economic growth.In the short run,the impulse effect of rural financial scale and rural financial efficiency on rural economic growth is gradually stable,and both of them have a certain contribution to the variance of rural economic growth.Increasing the financial support of rural finance for rural economy,improving rural production efficiency,improving rural financial credit environment and strengthening rural financial innovation are conducive to the important role of rural finance in promoting rural economic growth.