市场规模优势对制造业全球价值链地位的影响

Influence of Market Size on GVC Position of Manufacturing Industry

在双循环发展格局下利用市场规模优势提高制造业全球价值链地位是促进一国产业实现高质量发展的内在要求。本文利用2005-2015年的国际面板数据,构建市场规模指标反映各国不同时期的需求侧市场规模变化,分析市场规模优势对制造业全球价值链地位的影响。结果显示,市场规模的扩大能显著促进全球价值链地位的提升,并且受到国家发展水平及收入水平的异质性影响;市场规模通过研发水平的中介效应来影响价值链地位;市场规模的扩大会通过降低价值链上游依赖度以及提高价值链下游影响度来提升全球价值链地位,且前者作用相对更强。

Making use of market size is beneficial to industries′high-quality development under the background of“dual circulation”development pattern.This paper constructs a market size indicator and empirically analyzes the impact of super-market size on the position of global value chain of manufacturing industry by using the panel data of 37 countries from 2005 to 2015.The results show that the expansion of market size is beneficial to GVC position.The market size has a significant positive effect on GVC position for developed countries and high-income countries and a negative effect for low-and middle-income countries.The expansion of market size improves the GVC position by improving the R&D level,reducing the upstream dependence and improving the downstream influence degree.