建筑垃圾产量的灰色模型预测

Prediction of Construction Waste Output Based on Grey Model

为了应对建筑垃圾产量不断增长带来的一系列环境和资源问题,促进福建省建筑垃圾资源化管理,本文使用灰色模型估算2009年~2020年福建省建筑垃圾的产量。结果表明,该模型的方差比C为0.1812,最小误差概率P为1。说明模型的估算误差较小,可用于福建省建筑垃圾产量预测。

In order to cope with a series of environmental and resource problems caused by the continuous growth of construction waste output and promote the resource management of construction waste in Fujian Province,this paper uses the grey model to estimate the output of construction waste in Fujian Province from 2009 to 2020.The results show that the variance ratio and the minimum error probability of the model are 0.1812 and 1,respectively.It shows that the estimation error of the model is small,and it can be used to predict the output of construction waste in Fujian Province.